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IMF chief: Global inflation expected to fall to 3.8% this year, 3.4% in 2027

IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva forecasts easing global inflation through 2027 and emphasizes the need for greater trade integration amid ongoing economic and geopolitical shifts.

February 2, 2026

Reuters

IMF chief: Global inflation expected to fall to 3.8% this year, 3.4% in 2027

International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva attends the 56th annual World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Switzerland, January 23, 2026.

Denis Balibouse/Reuters

Global inflation is expected to fall to 3.8% this year and to 3.4% in 2027, helped by softer demand and lower energy prices, the IMF chief said on Monday.


Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said in a speech in the Annual Arab Fiscal Forum in Dubai that global growth has held up 'remarkably well' amid profound shifts in geopolitics, trade policy, technology, and demographics.


Georgieva also called for more trade integration as unilateral trade agreements are seen on the increase.


"In the world of trade fragmentation, more trade integration is absolutely paramount."


"What we have seen this year is that trade did not go down the way we feared it would. In fact trade is growing slightly slower than global growth," she added.


-Reporting by Jana Choukeir and Federico Maccioni, Writing by Nayera Abdallah; Editing by Himani Sarkar/Reuters

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